| 指数平滑法在科技成果转化率预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 牛玲,于敬艳.指数平滑法在科技成果转化率预测中的应用[J].沈阳理工大学学报,2000,19(4):47-50. |
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| 作者姓名： | 牛玲 于敬艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 沈阳工业学院,经贸分院,辽宁,沈阳110015
2. 大连冰山集团,进出口公司 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据沈阳市1991年至1998年获奖科技成果转化情况的调查资料，采用统计分析，利用二次指数平滑法建立科技成果转化率的趋势模型，用于对今后若干年我市科技成果转化率区间预测,并给出了预测的可靠性。
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| 关 键 词： | 指数平滑法 预测 科技成果转化率 |
| 修稿时间： | : |
An Application of Index Smoothing Method in the Interval Prediction Analyses of the Transforming Rate of Scientific and Technological Achievements |
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| NIU Ling,YU Jing-yan.An Application of Index Smoothing Method in the Interval Prediction Analyses of the Transforming Rate of Scientific and Technological Achievements[J].Transactions of Shenyang Ligong University,2000,19(4):47-50. |
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| Authors: | NIU Ling YU Jing-yan |
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| Abstract: | According to the investigated data of shenyang's scientific and technological achievements from 1991 to 1998,by means of quadratic index smoothing,this paper gives a trend model.This model can be used to predict the interval of the transforming rate of scientific and technological achievements.The reliability of the prediction is also given. |
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| Keywords: | index smoothing method prediction scientific and technological achievements |
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