| 径流中长期预报的灰色系统方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁秀娟,夏军.径流中长期预报的灰色系统方法研究[J].武汉大学学报(工学版),1994(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁秀娟 夏军 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉水利电力大学河流工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 探讨径流中长期预报的灰色系统方法，提出了全因果序列扩维的灰关联模式识别与预测方法、灰参数线性模型的预测方法以及ＧＭＲ（１．１）模型．分别用于年月径流预测和灾变预测．通过海河流域潘家口水库资料验证，表明计算方法是可行的．
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统 径流 预报 |
Research on the Grey System Method of Mid-long Term Run off Forecasting |
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| Yuan Xiujuan, Xin Jun.Research on the Grey System Method of Mid-long Term Run off Forecasting[J].Engineering Journal of Wuhan University,1994(4). |
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| Authors: | Yuan Xiujuan Xin Jun |
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| Affiliation: | Depertment of River Engineering |
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| Abstract: | This paper discusses the grey system method of mid-long term runoff forecasting.A greycorrelation analysis and the extended dimension pattern recognition of full causality series,the forecastmothed of grey parameter linear model and GMR(1.1)model are put forward.These three mothodsare used for annual and monthly munoff forecasting and damaging forecasting.It is verified by Panjakou Reservoir materials in the Haihe River basin that these methods are praeticable. |
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| Keywords: | gray system runoff forecasting |
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