| 风险分析的尖点突变模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 钱新明,乔士平.风险分析的尖点突变模型[J].北京理工大学学报(英文版),1999,8(2):219-224. |
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| 作者姓名： | 钱新明 乔士平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京理工大学机电工程系,北京,100081
2. 中国平安保险公司非水险部,深圳,518029 |
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| 摘 要： | Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods
Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as
two control variables and the function of the system is used as the state variable for
analysis. Results and Conclusion A risk analysis model named the cusp
model is presented. Various states regarding the safety of the system such as the accident
state, no-accident state and miss state can be represented at will on the cusp model.
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| 关 键 词： | 尖点突变 风险分析 突变 模糊理论 |
| 收稿时间： | 1998/11/30 0:00:00 |
Cusp Model for Risk Analysis |
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| Qian Xinming and Qiao George.Cusp Model for Risk Analysis[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology,1999,8(2):219-224. |
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| Authors: | Qian Xinming and Qiao George |
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| Affiliation: | Department of Engineering Safety, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081;Non Marine Department, Ping An Insurance Company of China, Shenzhen 518029 |
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| Abstract: | Aim To assess simultaneously various risk states of a system. Methods Using the catastrophe and fuzzy theory, the energy and uncertainty in a system are set as two control variables and the function of the system is used as the state variable for analysis. Results and Conclusion A risk analysis model named the cusp model is presented. Various states regarding the safety of the system such as the accident state, no accident state and miss state can be represented at will on the cusp model. |
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| Keywords: | cusp catastrophe risk analysis catastrophe fuzzy theory |
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