| 组合灰色神经网络模型及其季节性负荷预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 牛东晓,陈志业,谢宏.组合灰色神经网络模型及其季节性负荷预测[J].华北电力大学学报,2000,27(4):1-6. |
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| 作者姓名： | 牛东晓 陈志业 谢宏 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学经济管理系，河北保定 071003 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家电力公司资助项目，A98B03， |
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| 摘 要： | 对于季节性时间序列具有增长性和波动性的二重趋势性，提出了季节性预测的组合灰色神经网络模型，研究了同时考虑两种（非线性）趋势的复杂季节性预测问题，给出了一个应用实例，为季节性预测提供了一种新的、有效的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 季节性预测 负荷预测 组合灰色神经网络 组合预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-2691(2000)04-0001-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000年4月12日 |
Combined Gray Neural Network Model and its Application in the Seasonal Power Load Forecasting |
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| NIU Dong-xiao,CHEN Zhi-ye,XIE Hong.Combined Gray Neural Network Model and its Application in the Seasonal Power Load Forecasting[J].Journal of North China Electric Power University,2000,27(4):1-6. |
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| Authors: | NIU Dong-xiao CHEN Zhi-ye XIE Hong |
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| Abstract: | Because the seasonal time sequence presents the double trends of increasing and fluctuating, the combined gray neural network model for the seasonal forecast is proposed. The problem of complex seasonal forecast with double nonlinear trends is investigated and the application case is also given. The new and effective method for the seasonal forecast is provided in this work. |
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| Keywords: | seasonal forecast combined gray ANN combine forecast |
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