| 电网时负荷周期比值灰色预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘兵军 牛东晓. 电网时负荷周期比值灰色预测模型[J]. 华北电力大学学报(自然科学版), 1997, 24(3): 22-26 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘兵军 牛东晓 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学基础科学系 |
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| 摘 要： | 鉴于时负荷的日周期性及周周期性，基于灰色系统理论，提出一种周期比值灰色预测模型，对未来２４小时负荷进行预测。该方法新颖独特、使用方便，可以对未来２４小时负荷进行预测，经后验差检验其精度达到一级。
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| 关 键 词： | 周期性 灰色预测模型 电网 后验差 |
The Grey Model of Load Forecasting about Periodic Ratio for Southern Hebei Power System |
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| Liu Bingjun, Niu Dongxiao, Hu Ricong, Cui Xiaodan. The Grey Model of Load Forecasting about Periodic Ratio for Southern Hebei Power System[J]. Journal of North China Electric Power University, 1997, 24(3): 22-26 |
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| Authors: | Liu Bingjun Niu Dongxiao Hu Ricong Cui Xiaodan |
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| Abstract: | In view of weekly periodicity and daily periodicity of hourly load,a periodic ratio grey model for hourly load forecasting has been set up with grey system theory.The future hourly load with in 24 hours can be forecasted with the model.With the periodicity being viewed sufficiently,satisfactory accuracy can be obtained. |
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| Keywords: | periodicity grey model for forecasting difference after testing |
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