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时间序列及其预报在结构可靠度上的应用
引用本文:张小娜,王国立,解伟.时间序列及其预报在结构可靠度上的应用[J].华北水利水电学院学报,2007,28(2):50-52.
作者姓名:张小娜  王国立  解伟
作者单位:1. 华北水利水电学院,河南,郑州,450011
2. 郑州金山置业有限公司,河南,郑州,450044
摘    要:为了给建筑物的改造和加固提供可靠的依据,需要对建筑物的可靠性进行评估.应用时间序列预测法,通过对原始数据的处理,建立了时间序列模型,对未来的未知情况进行了预报.实例证明:时间序列及其预报能够简化分析过程,为结构可靠度的深入研究和工程应用提供新的途径.

关 键 词:时间序列  结构可靠度  预报  评估
文章编号:1002-5634(2007)02-0050-03
修稿时间:2006-12-02

Application of Time Series and Its Forecast in Structural Reliability
ZHANG Xiao-na,WANG Guo-li,XIE Wei.Application of Time Series and Its Forecast in Structural Reliability[J].Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,2007,28(2):50-52.
Authors:ZHANG Xiao-na  WANG Guo-li  XIE Wei
Affiliation:1. North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,Zhengzhou 450011, China; 2. Zhengzhou Jinshan Real Estate,Zhengzhou 450044, China
Abstract:In order to supply the foundation for structure′s transformation and reinforcement.It is necessary to carry on structure′s reliability evaluation.Using time series forecast,by dealing with the original data,the time series model is established,through the model the future′s unknown circumstances can forecast.the examples prove that time series and its forecast can simplify the process of analysis,the new way for structure reliability′s deep research and engineering use is supplied.
Keywords:time series  structure reliability  forecast  evaluation
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