| 基于层次分析法的电煤供应链风险评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 崔树银,高攀.基于层次分析法的电煤供应链风险评估研究[J].上海电力学院学报,2016,32(1):51-55,72. |
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| 作者姓名： | 崔树银 高攀 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海电力学院 经济与管理学院, 上海 200090,上海电力学院 经济与管理学院, 上海 200090 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海电力学院校本级重点学科建设项目. |
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| 摘 要： | 通过文献阅读、现场访谈和问卷调查,识别和确认了电煤供应链存在的主要风险源,细分后共得到16项次级风险因素;基于事故树分析法,建立了电煤供应链风险评估的指标体系;运用基于加速遗传算法的层次分析法(AGA-AHP),对电煤供应链风险的大小进行了评估.通过算例分析验证了该方法的有效性.
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| 关 键 词： | 电煤供应链 风险评估 评价指标体系 加速遗传算法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015/4/27 0:00:00 |
Research on Risk Assessment of Electricity Coal Supply Chain Based on AHP Approach |
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| CUI Shuyin and GAO Pan.Research on Risk Assessment of Electricity Coal Supply Chain Based on AHP Approach[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Electric Power,2016,32(1):51-55,72. |
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| Authors: | CUI Shuyin and GAO Pan |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China and School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China |
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| Abstract: | Through literature reading,interviews and questionnaire survey,the major sources of risks and 16 secondary risk factors for the power generation coal supply chain are identified and confirmed.Risk assessment index system for the power generation coal supply chain is established by using the method of fault tree analysis.The degree of risk for the power generation coal supply chain is evaluated by using analytic hierarchy process(AHP)which is based on accelerating genetic algorithm(AGA).A numerical example verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method. |
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| Keywords: | the power generation coal supply chain risk assessment evaluation index system accelerating genetic algorithm |
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