| 基于盲数的区域水资源可持续利用评价研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李如忠,洪天求,钱家忠.基于盲数的区域水资源可持续利用评价研究[J].中北大学学报,2006,27(5):436-441. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李如忠 洪天求 钱家忠 |
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| 作者单位： | 合肥工业大学资源与环境工程学院,安徽合肥230009 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)
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安徽省自然科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 从水资源系统多种不确定性共存的角度,运用群体决策模式,将水资源可持续利用评价看作是多智能体系统不确定性结论的合成问题.通过将专家组对指标的评价意见假设为盲信息,构造评价指标盲数.在此基础上,建立区域水资源可持续利用评价盲数模型.实例研究表明,所建模型对水资源可持续利用评价具有很好的适用性.
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源可持续利用 盲信息 盲数 可信度 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-3193(2006)05-0436-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年2月23日 |
Assessment on Sustainable Utilization of Regional Water Resources Based on Blind Number |
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| LI Ru-zhong,HONG Tian-qiu,QIAN Jia-zhong.Assessment on Sustainable Utilization of Regional Water Resources Based on Blind Number[J].Journal of North University of China,2006,27(5):436-441. |
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| Authors: | LI Ru-zhong HONG Tian-qiu QIAN Jia-zhong |
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| Abstract: | Water resources system is a huge system with many uncertainties.From the aspects of group decision,the assessment on sustainable utilization of regional water resources can be regarded as the composition problem of uncertain conclusions in multi-agent system(MAS).By constructing the blind number of each evaluation index,a blind-number model for evaluating sustainable utilization of regional water resources has been established.In the model,the suggestions from experts on a certain evaluation index have been treated as blind information,and regional water resources sustainable utilization assessment have been expressed by blind numbers with weights.Study result shows that the blind-number model(BM) is suitable for assessment on regional water resources sustainable utilization. |
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| Keywords: | sustainable utilization of water resources blind information blind number reliability |
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