| 时间序列在建筑物沉降监测数据分析中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 邹积亭.时间序列在建筑物沉降监测数据分析中的应用研究[J].北京建筑工程学院学报,2009,25(2):27-30. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邹积亭 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京建筑工程学院教务处,北京,100044 |
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| 基金项目： | 北京市人才强教资助项目，地理信息工程国家测绘局重点实验室资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 在建筑物的沉降监测中，采用时间序列方法对观测数据进行分析处理，建立建筑物的动态沉降预测模型，并对其沉降趋势进行预测．从而选择合适的解决方案和采取相应的地基处理措施．把沉降量限定在允许范围内是极为重要的．介绍了时间序列分析方法中的AR模型，AR模型阶数的确定、参数估计、模型检验以及预报分析的方法，并结合某建筑物沉降观测的数据为例进行说明．
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列 AR模型 沉降监测 |
Application of the Time Series in the Analysis of the Building Subsidence Monitoring Data |
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| Zou Jiting.Application of the Time Series in the Analysis of the Building Subsidence Monitoring Data[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Civil Engineering and Architecture,2009,25(2):27-30. |
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| Authors: | Zou Jiting |
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| Affiliation: | Zou Jiting (Dean\'s Office,BUCEA Beijing 100044) |
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| Abstract: | In the building subsidence monitoring the dynamical model to forecast its subsidence tendency is established by using the time series method to anlayze the observed data,and the subsidence tecndency is calculated.Then the appropriate solutions and precautions for the ground processing are chosen,and it is extremely important to control the subsidence quantity in the limited range.The AR model,determination of the model step number,the model parameter estimation,the model examination as well as the forecasti... |
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| Keywords: | time series AR model subsidence monitoring |
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