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| 基于蒙特卡罗方法的水库大坝漫顶风险分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 楼珍桢,李全兵,张磊.基于蒙特卡罗方法的水库大坝漫顶风险分析[J].黑龙江水专学报,2009,36(2):5-7. |
| 作者姓名： | 楼珍桢 李全兵 张磊 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 义乌市水文站,浙江,义乌,322000 2. 武警水电一总队工程项目处,南宁,530028 3. 河海大学,水利水电工程学院,南京,210098 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(50809025)混凝土坝空间场的安全预警模型研究 |
| 摘 要： | 洪水漫顶是导致水库大坝破坏的主要原因之一，大坝洪水漫顶风险分析是大坝安全评价的重要组成部分。在介绍洪水漫顶的可靠度模型的基础上，提出用蒙特卡罗方法进行模拟，并对其中的伪随机数生成进行了细致的说明。工程实例表明基于蒙特卡罗方法的水库漫顶风险分析模型具有较强的实用性，能为大坝安全评价工作提供支持。 |
| 关 键 词： | 水库大坝 漫顶 可靠度 蒙特卡罗 |
Overtopping Risk Analysis of Reservoir Dam Based on Monte Carlo |
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| LOU Zhen-zhen,LI Quan-bing,ZHANG Lei.Overtopping Risk Analysis of Reservoir Dam Based on Monte Carlo[J].Journal of Heilongjiang Hydraulic Engineering College,2009,36(2):5-7. | |
| Authors: | LOU Zhen-zhen LI Quan-bing ZHANG Lei |
| Affiliation: | 1.Yiwu Hydrological Stations;Yiwu 322000;Zhejiang;China;2.Project Office of the 1st Police Hydropower Corps;Nanning 530028;3.College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering;HoHai University;Nanjing 210098;China |
| Abstract: | Overtopping is the main cause of reservoir dam damage,and the analysis of overtopping probability is the main part of dam safety assessment.After the introduction of overtopping reliability model,the Monte Carlo simulation is proposed with the generation method of pseudo-random number.Practical project shows that the model based on Monte Carlo is practical and can be used in dam safety assessment. |
| Keywords: | reservoir dam overtopping reliability Monte Carlo |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |