初论适合城市电网规划的负荷预测方法

结合城市电网规划特点指出其负荷预测误区，阐述一种行之有效的负荷分布预测方法———功能小区负荷密度法，预测城市负荷分布，据此布局变压器（变电所），由下而上逐级规划城市电网，并希望能在今后的城市电网规划中得以广泛应用。

Preliminary Discussion on Load Forecast Suitable to Urban Power Grid Planning

Considering the features of urban power grid planning, the paper points out an erroneous area in load forecasting, and describes the functional small area load density method, an effective method of load distribution forecasting based on which it is to predict urban load distribution, design transformer layout and to plan urban po wer grid step by step and from bottom to top. It is hoped to popularize this method in future urban grid planning.