| 电力远期价格预测的灰色动态模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 马歆,侯志俭,蒋传文,邰能灵,潘力强.电力远期价格预测的灰色动态模型研究[J].电力系统保护与控制,2003,31(6):23-25,61. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马歆 侯志俭 蒋传文 邰能灵 潘力强 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.上海交通大学电力学院，上海 200240;2.湖南电力调度通信中心，湖南 长沙 410007 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(50079006);;中国博士后基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 电力远期价格受实时电价、利率、负荷需求等多种因素影响,变化趋势复杂,很难建立一个准确的数学模型进行全面描述。针对这一特点,用灰色动态预测模型对电力远期价格进行了预测,并对不同模型的预测结果进行了研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力远期价格 灰色动态模型 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-4897(2003)06-0023-03 |
Study on gray dynamic model for electricity forward price forecasting |
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| MA Xin,HOU Zhi-jian,JIANG Chuan-wen,TAI Neng-ling,PAN Li-qiang.Study on gray dynamic model for electricity forward price forecasting[J].Power System Protection and Control,2003,31(6):23-25,61. |
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| Authors: | MA Xin HOU Zhi-jian JIANG Chuan-wen TAI Neng-ling PAN Li-qiang |
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| Abstract: | Electricity forward price is affected by many factors such as spot price, interest rate and load request. It is difficult to set up an accurate math model to describe its movement which varies in complex tendency. A gray dynamic model is present to forecast electricity forward price and results of different models are studied. |
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| Keywords: | electricity forward price gray dynamic model forecasting |
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