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合肥市夏季居民空调降温负荷调查分析
引用本文:施旭军,金备,刘文博,罗庚玉,杨洁.合肥市夏季居民空调降温负荷调查分析[J].电力需求侧管理,2008,10(4).
作者姓名:施旭军  金备  刘文博  罗庚玉  杨洁
作者单位:1. 合肥供电公司,合肥,230000
2. 安徽省电力公司,合肥,230061
3. 安徽经典市场调查咨询有限公司,合肥,230061
摘    要:为了分析空调降温负荷对合肥地区夏季总负荷的影响,对合肥夏季的居民空调降温负荷的总量和相关特性进行了调查分析,建立了空调负荷总安装容量与居民特性变量间的回归预测模型以及空调实际负荷与气温变化的回归预测模型,为合肥市电力公司制定高峰时段负荷调控政策和措施提供科学依据。

关 键 词:夏季空调负荷  居民特性变量  回归预测模型

Investigation analysis of summer resident air-conditioning cooling load in Hefei
SHI Xu-jun,JIN Bei,LIU Wen-bo,LUO Geng-yu,YANG Jie.Investigation analysis of summer resident air-conditioning cooling load in Hefei[J].Power Demand Side Management,2008,10(4).
Authors:SHI Xu-jun  JIN Bei  LIU Wen-bo  LUO Geng-yu  YANG Jie
Affiliation:SHI Xu-jun1,JIN Bei1,LIU Wen-bo1,LUO Geng-yu2,YANG Jie3(1.Hefei Electric Power Supply Company,Hefei 230000,China,2.Anhui Jingdian Market Research , Consultation Co.,Ltd,Hefei 230061,China)
Abstract:In order to analyze the influence of air-conditioning cooling load on the total summer load in Hefei,this article investigates and analyzes the totality and relevant characteristics of resident air-conditioning cooling load in Hefei.Two regression forecasting models are established,one is about total installed capacity of air conditioning load and resident characteristic variables,the other is about actual air-conditioning load and temperature changes.All of these supply scientific accordance for Hefei elec...
Keywords:summer air-conditioning load  resident characteristic variables  regression forecasting model  
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