中长期负荷预测的傅里叶级数残差修正模型

为了提高电网中长期负荷预测精度,在灰色预测的基础上建立傅里叶级数残差修正模型,对中长期电力负荷进行预测,并以黄山电网负荷数据为例进行了分析比较,结果表明模型能提高预测精度。

Mid- and Long Term Load Forecasting Using Fourier Series Residual Correction

On the basis of grey model,the residual correction model of Fourier series is presented in this paper to improve the precision of medium-and long-term power load forecasting.The proposed model is verified by power load data of Huangshan power grid,thus it is proved that the proposed model possesses high forecasting accuracy.