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基于蒙特卡洛模拟的发电厂设备重要度分析
引用本文:董玉亮,顾煜炯,杨昆.基于蒙特卡洛模拟的发电厂设备重要度分析[J].中国电机工程学报,2003,23(8):201-205.
作者姓名:董玉亮  顾煜炯  杨昆
作者单位:华北电力大学动力工程系,北京,102206
基金项目:国家电力公司科技项目(SP11-2002-02-28)。
摘    要:针对发电厂设备高度复杂性和关联性强的特点,用传统方法难以进行重要度分析的问题,在确定其重要度主要影响因素的基础上,建立了发电厂设备重要度评价指数。采用基于蒙特卡洛模拟的方法,对某发电厂的30台设备进行了重要度分析,并开发了通用计算程序。计算实例表明,该方法简便、有效,可用于发电厂设备的维修决策。

关 键 词:发电厂  发电设备  蒙特卡洛模拟  计算机模拟
文章编号:0258-8013(2003)08-0201-05
修稿时间:2003年6月3日

CRITICALITY ANALYSIS ON EQUIPMENT IN POWER PLANT BASED ON MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
DONG Yu-liang,GU Yu-jiong,YANG Kun.CRITICALITY ANALYSIS ON EQUIPMENT IN POWER PLANT BASED ON MONTE CARLO SIMULATION[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2003,23(8):201-205.
Authors:DONG Yu-liang  GU Yu-jiong  YANG Kun
Abstract:Aiming at the problems that the equipment in power plant is complex, highly correlated and difficult to make criticality evaluation by using traditional method, the criticality evaluation index of equipment in power plant is established on the basis of the decision of the main factors influencing the criticality. The criticality analysis on thirty equipments in a power plant is made based on Monte Carlo simulation method, and the calculation program in common use has been developed. It is shown by the instance that this method is convenient and effective, which can be used in making maintenance decision on equipment in power plant.
Keywords:Equipment in power plant  Monte Carlo simulation  Criticality analysis  Maintenance decision
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