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电力系统负荷预测方法综述
引用本文:周潮,邢文洋,李宇龙.电力系统负荷预测方法综述[J].电源学报,2012,10(6):32-39.
作者姓名:周潮  邢文洋  李宇龙
作者单位:东北电力大学电气工程学院,东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林市供电公司
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(51177009);吉林省教育厅科技项目(吉教科合字[2012]第101号);东北电力大学博士科研启动基金资助项目(BSJXM-201004)
摘    要:电力系统负荷预测对电力系统的调度运行和生产计划有很大影响,准确的负荷预测有助于提高电力系统的安全性、稳定性、经济性,随着电力市场的建立与发展,负荷预测将发挥越来越重要的作用。简述了电力系统负荷预测的概念和意义,对现有的负荷预测方法进行分类,介绍了各种预测方法的原理,讨论了各种方法的优点与不足之处。最后,对电力系统负荷预测方法未来的发展方向做出了展望。

关 键 词:电力系统  负荷预测  方法模型  智能电网
收稿时间:2012/8/12 0:00:00
修稿时间:9/8/2012 12:00:00 AM

Summarization on Load Forecasting Method of Electrical Power System
ZHOU Chao,XING Wen-yang and LI Yu-long.Summarization on Load Forecasting Method of Electrical Power System[J].Journal of power supply,2012,10(6):32-39.
Authors:ZHOU Chao  XING Wen-yang and LI Yu-long
Affiliation:School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Northeast Dianli University,School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Northeast Dianli University,Jilin Power Supply Corporation
Abstract:The load forecasting is an important task of power utilities, which is wildly used in the dispatching and operation planning of power systems, and the accurate load forecasting is helpful for the security and stability of power systems as well as reducing the power generation costs. With the establishment and development of the power market, load forecasting will play a more important role in power systems. The definition and meaning of load forecasting were introduced. The current load forecasting methods were classified and the basic theories, advantages and disadvantages of different methods were described. Finally, the future development direction of the load forecasting methods was discussed.
Keywords:electric power  system load forecasting  method and model  smart grid
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