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潮流预报在电网安全预警系统中的应用
引用本文:郭烨,吴文传,张伯明,孙素琴.潮流预报在电网安全预警系统中的应用[J].电力系统自动化,2010,34(5):107-111.
作者姓名:郭烨  吴文传  张伯明  孙素琴
作者单位:1. 清华大学电机系电力系统国家重点实验室,北京市,100084
2. 河南电力调度通信中心,河南省郑州市,450052
基金项目:电力系统及发电设备控制和仿真”国家重点实验室自主研究课题资助
摘    要:潮流预报技术是实现电网预警预控的基础,结合某省级电网安全预警系统的实际研发经验,介绍了超短期和短期潮流预报在电网安全预警系统中的实现算法、技术特点和应用场合.结合实际应用情况,分析了超短期潮流预报和短期潮流预报算法的可靠性和精度,以及影响它们性能的关键因素.

关 键 词:潮流预报  电网  安全预警  负荷预测
收稿时间:2009/11/11 0:00:00
修稿时间:2/8/2010 6:52:11 PM

Power Flow Forecasting Method and Its Application in Early Warning and Security Countermeasure System
GUO Ye,WU Wenchuan,ZHANG Boming,SUN Suqin.Power Flow Forecasting Method and Its Application in Early Warning and Security Countermeasure System[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2010,34(5):107-111.
Authors:GUO Ye  WU Wenchuan  ZHANG Boming  SUN Suqin
Affiliation:1.State Key Laboratory of Power Systems;Department of Electrical Engineering;Tsinghua University;Beijing 100084;China;2.Henan Electric Power Dispatching Center;Zhengzhou 450052;China
Abstract:Power flow forecasting is a fundamental function in early warning and security countermeasure system(EWSC)for power grid.The ultra-short term and daily power flow forecasting methods are both presented.The factors affecting robustness and accuracy of the results of these two methods are analyzed.Power flow forecasting software is introduced which has been imbedded in a EWSC system.The recorded results from a provincial power grid are given and the practicality of the proposed method is validated.
Keywords:power flow forecasting  power grid  security early warning  load forecasting
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