电力市场谈判型长期合约的贝叶斯均衡解

发电市场中，长期合约是发电公司与交易中心双方追求效益、规避风险的共同选择。针对确定交易规模、不定交易价格的合约谈判方式，首次采用非合作博弈论的贝叶斯均衡概念，讨论了合约价格形成的理性条件，并指出这种模式存在贝叶斯均衡解。该项研究为合约交易和监管工作的深入开展奠定了重要基础。

BAYESIAN EQUILIBRIUM OF LONG-TERM CONTRACT NEGOTIATION MEANS IN ELECTRICITY MARKET

In power generation market, long-term contract is one of the common and important choices of power generation company and transaction center to pursue benefits and evade risks. With the negotiation means of certain transaction and uncertain transaction price, this paper adopts such concepts as Bayesian equilibrium of non-corporate game theory, discusses the rational conditions of contract price formation, and points out it has Bayesian equilibrium. This study lays an important foundation for the transactions and supervision of such contract patterns.