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一个经济开发区的负荷预测专家系统
引用本文:张粒子,高曙,俞国勤,黄兴. 一个经济开发区的负荷预测专家系统[J]. 现代电力, 1996, 0(2)
作者姓名:张粒子  高曙  俞国勤  黄兴
作者单位:华北电力大学(北京)电力工程系,上海电力工业局
摘    要:讨论了一个经济开发区的负荷预测专家系统。该系统基于产生式规则,由模块化知识库、广度正向推理机制、数据库和解释机制构成。虽然所编制的程序是针对某个新经济开发区的,但对于其它经济开发区,只需在知识库和数据库中增加新的信息,仍可适用。

关 键 词:电力系统规划;专家系统;负荷预测

A ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING EXPERT SYSTEM
Zhang Lizi,Gao Shu. A ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING EXPERT SYSTEM[J]. Modern Electric Power, 1996, 0(2)
Authors:Zhang Lizi  Gao Shu
Abstract:An expert system for the median-long term electric load forecasting of an economic developing zone is studied in this paper.The production-rule-based system consist of a modular knowlege, a data base, an interpreter and a breadth--first--based forward reasoning engine. By constrast with the traditional forecasting methods,the system is more suitable for the load forecasting of the areas where the economic development and increment of the electric load are faster than those of ordinary cities.Though the system is designed for a certain areas,it can be used to other economic developing zones only by adding some new information to the knowledge base and the data base of the system.
Keywords:electric power system planning   expert system  load forecasting  
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