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600MW机组运行可靠性数据的数学建模与分析
引用本文:谢华文,孙奉仲,王凯,史月涛,王乃华. 600MW机组运行可靠性数据的数学建模与分析[J]. 电力勘测设计, 2005, 0(5): 49-52
作者姓名:谢华文  孙奉仲  王凯  史月涛  王乃华
作者单位:1. 山东电力工程咨询院,山东,济南,250013
2. 山东大学,山东,济南,250013
摘    要:目前,国内积累了大量关于火电机组的可靠性数据,但对它们的统计分析还远远不够。作者对600MW机组的某些可靠性数据进行了统计分析并应用最小二乘法建立了数学模型,同时对该模型进行了分析和应用,发现600MW机组的非计划停运小时、强迫停运小时、降低出力等效停运小时和等效强迫停运率EFOR基本上是按逐年递减的规律变化的,而其等效可用系数则是逐年递增的。

关 键 词:可靠性  建模  最小二乘法
文章编号:1671-9913(2005)05-0048-04
收稿时间:2005-09-05
修稿时间:2005-09-05

Analysis and Building Mathematice Model of Running Reliability of 600MW Units
XIE Hua-wen,SUN Feng-zhong,WANG Kai,SHI Yu-tao,WANG Nai-hua. Analysis and Building Mathematice Model of Running Reliability of 600MW Units[J]. Electric Power Survey & Design, 2005, 0(5): 49-52
Authors:XIE Hua-wen  SUN Feng-zhong  WANG Kai  SHI Yu-tao  WANG Nai-hua
Abstract:A lot of data of reliability are stored at present, but only a few of them are used to analyse statistically. Some data of reliability in 600MW units are analysed statistically and methmatic models are built by using least squares in this article. The application of the model is discussed. It is found that in 600MW units UOH, EUNDH and EFOR is decreased and EAF increased year after year.
Keywords:reliability   model building, least squares.
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