基于环境和经济双重约束的电源结构优化研究

电力工业对国民经济的发展起着先导和支撑作用,是能源发展的战略中心。同时,电力工业在中国节能减排和能源结构转型升级中担任重要角色。首先,结合"十三五规划"对能源发展的新要求,运用目标规划理论建立兼顾环境和经济目标的电源结构优化模型,研究电源资源的可持续发展问题;再以四川省电源结构资料为例进行仿真计算,利用碳价格系数,寻求经济与环境双重利好下的电源结构目标,验证所建模型的合理性和可行性,为电源结构优化问题研究提供一种新的思路和途径。

Research on Power Structure Optimization Based on Environment and Economy Constraints

Electric power industry is the strategic center of energy development, which plays a leading and supporting role in the development of national economy. At the same time, the electric power industry plays an important role in energy conservation and emission reduction as well as energy structure transformation and upgrading. Based on the new requirements of the 13th Five-Year Plan for energy development, the target planning theory is used to establish a power supply structure optimization model that gives attention to the environmental and economic objectives, and the sustainable development of power resources is studied. Finally, taking the data of power supply structure in Sichuan province for example, the simulation calculation is carried out, the carbon price coefficient is used to seek the target of power supply structure under the double benefits of economy and environment, and the rationality and feasibility of the proposed model are verified, which provides a new idea for the research of power supply structure optimization.