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基于改进的PSO-SVM的短期电力负荷预测
引用本文:王义军,李殿文,高超,张洪赫.基于改进的PSO-SVM的短期电力负荷预测[J].电测与仪表,2015,52(3):22-25.
作者姓名:王义军  李殿文  高超  张洪赫
作者单位:东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林吉林,132012
摘    要:提出一种基于PSO-SVM电力负荷短期预测方法,在SVM学习过程中引入粒子群算法。通过选取组合核函数来改进SVM算法,这样可以充分保证计算速度和较高的预测精度。利用吉林地区的历史负荷数据作为训练样本,通过与传统的SVM预测模型进行对比,对预测结果与实际数据进行比较,证明基于组合核函数预测方法在一定程度上能够保证短期负荷预测的精度。

关 键 词:电力系统  气象因素  支持向量机  短期负荷预测
收稿时间:2014/3/14 0:00:00
修稿时间:2014/3/14 0:00:00

Improved PSO-SVM based on short-term power load forecasting
WANG Yi-jun,LI Dian-wen,Gao-chao and Zhang Hong-he.Improved PSO-SVM based on short-term power load forecasting[J].Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation,2015,52(3):22-25.
Authors:WANG Yi-jun  LI Dian-wen  Gao-chao and Zhang Hong-he
Affiliation:Wang Yijun;Li Dianwen;Gao Chao;Zhang Honghe;College of Electrical Engineering,Northeast Dianli University;
Abstract:This paper proposes a PSO-SVM short-term power load forecasting method based on the introduction of particle swarm algorithm SVM learning process. To improve SVM kernel function by selecting a portfolio, so you can fully guarantee the computing speed and high prediction accuracy. In this paper, historical load data Jilin region as training samples, with the traditional SVM prediction model by comparing the predicted results were compared with the actual data to prove that the combination forecasting method based on kernel function to some extent able to guarantee the accuracy of short-term load forecasting.
Keywords:power system  meteorological factor  support vector machines  short-term load forecasting
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