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基于阻塞风险的需求侧购电策略
引用本文:李立颖,张喜铭,彭建春,陶洁.基于阻塞风险的需求侧购电策略[J].电力自动化设备,2005,25(8):35-38,42.
作者姓名:李立颖  张喜铭  彭建春  陶洁
作者单位:1. 广州市地下铁道设计研究院,广东,广州,510010
2. 中国南方电网佛山南海供电分公司,广东,南海,528000
3. 湖南大学电气与信息工程学院,湖南,长沙,410082
4. 湖南省电力勘测设计院,湖南,长沙,410082
摘    要:输电网的资源有限性使得电力市场环境中的各交易方都面临输电阻塞的风险。从需求侧用户的角度分析阻塞风险,提出不仅发电公司要有计及阻塞风险的策略性报价.用户也应当考虑阻塞给自己带来的风险,策略性地决定购电方案。针对阻塞给用户带来的风险.构造了需求侧的购电策略模型,用户可根据各种购电方案下的收益期望值和收益标准差决定购电量.并进行了实例分析。用户主动调节负荷,有利于实质上缓解输电网的阻塞问题。

关 键 词:电力市场  风险分析  收益期望  标准差  购电策略  需求侧管理
文章编号:1006-6047(2005)08-0035-04

Demand-side energy purchase strategy based on transmission congestion risk
LI Li-ying,ZHANG Xi-ming,PENG Jian-chun,Tao Jie.Demand-side energy purchase strategy based on transmission congestion risk[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2005,25(8):35-38,42.
Authors:LI Li-ying  ZHANG Xi-ming  PENG Jian-chun  Tao Jie
Abstract:The limitation of transmission network makes all traders in electricity market confront with the risk caused by transmission congestion.The congestion risk is analyzed from demand side.Both generation companies and consumers should reckon the congestion risk in bidding or purcha-sing strategies.A purchase decision model at demand side is constructed,with which consumers may draw up their energy purchase plans in terms of profit expectations and profit standard deviations in diffierent purchase conditions.An analytic example is put forward.The voluntary adjusting of power demands by consumers will mitigate the transmission congestion virtually.
Keywords:electricity market  risk analysis  profit expectation  profit standard deviation  energy purchase strategy  demand side management  
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