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电力系统的递推自适应超短期负荷预报
引用本文:陆海峰,单渊达.电力系统的递推自适应超短期负荷预报[J].电网技术,2000,24(3):28-31.
作者姓名:陆海峰  单渊达
作者单位:东南大学电气工程系!南京210096
摘    要:针对超短期负荷预报的特点 ,引入控制理论中的相关理论原理 ,将时间序列方法作了改进 ,并用简单有效的算法实现了实时超短期负荷预报 ,经过对某地区电网实际数据的计算证明了方法的正确性

关 键 词:超短期负荷预报  自适应  时间序列  电力系统

RECURSIVE AND ADAPTIVE SUPER-SHORT TERM LOAD FORECAST METHOD
LU Hai\|feng,SHAN Yuan\|da.RECURSIVE AND ADAPTIVE SUPER-SHORT TERM LOAD FORECAST METHOD[J].Power System Technology,2000,24(3):28-31.
Authors:LU Hai\|feng  SHAN Yuan\|da
Abstract:The super\|short term load forecast plays an important role in on\|line dispatch and control of power system, but up to now, the application of super\|short term load forecast is seldom reported and few papers on this problem are published. Considering the characteristics of super\|short term load forecast this paper uses some results of control theory to improve the method of time series and realize the algorithm as simple as possible. Its validity is proved by applying it to the computation of a practical power system.
Keywords:super\|short term load forecast  self\|adaptive  time series  on\|line
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