| 关于夏季单位温升负荷效应回归模型的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 周晖,钮文洁,刘万添,李冬梅.关于夏季单位温升负荷效应回归模型的研究[J].电网技术,2003,27(3):46-49,58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周晖 钮文洁 刘万添 李冬梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北方交通大学电气工程学院,北京100044
2. 北京供电局用电计划处,北京100051 |
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| 摘 要： | 从电力公司市场开发部门电力负荷分析与预测的要求出发，着力对北京地区几年来夏季负荷的变化状况及其与气温的变化关系进行了深入的分析，采用相关与回归理论，建立起较为实用的关于夏季上升段与下降段单位温升负荷效应模型，为定量地掌握夏季负荷随气温变化规律提供了理论依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 单位温升负荷效应 回归模型 电力系统 负荷预测 数学模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3673(2003)03-0046-04 |
RESEARCH ON REGRESSION MODEL OF LOAD EFFECT ON SPECIFIC TEMPERATURE RISE IN SUMMER |
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| ZHOU Hui,NIU Wen-jie,LIU Wan-tian,LI Dong-mei.RESEARCH ON REGRESSION MODEL OF LOAD EFFECT ON SPECIFIC TEMPERATURE RISE IN SUMMER[J].Power System Technology,2003,27(3):46-49,58. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Hui NIU Wen-jie LIU Wan-tian LI Dong-mei |
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| Affiliation: | ZHOU Hui1,NIU Wen-jie1,LIU Wan-tian1,LI Dong-mei2 |
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| Abstract: | According to the requirement of analysis and forecast of power load in marketing department of electric power company, the power load variation in summer in recent years in Beijing region and the relation between the former and the ambient temperature variation are analyzed in detail. To provide a theoretical foundation for mastering the rule of the variation of power load with the variation of temperature in summer, using correlation and regression theory a practical regression model of load variation due to specific temperature rise at ascending period and descending period in summer is established. |
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| Keywords: | correlation analysis regression model SPSS software load effect at specific temperature rise |
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