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基于自适应灰色模型的路面使用性能预测
引用本文:雷剑,王选仓,王蕾.基于自适应灰色模型的路面使用性能预测[J].微计算机信息,2010(13).
作者姓名:雷剑  王选仓  王蕾
作者单位:长安大学公路学院;长安大学电控学院;长安大学信息工程学院;
基金项目:基金申请人:王选仓教授;项目名称:邯沙快速通道建设关键技术研究;基金颁发部门:河北省交通厅(Y-080224)
摘    要:在灰色理论建模的基础上,通过采用预测的最新数据替代最老数据这种方式,建立了自适应灰色模型,并将其应用于路面使用性能预测。能够克服缺少历史数据的不足,同时,与以往的预测模型相比,更加准确,更加符合路面使用性能的变化规律。通过MATLAB编程实现,使得预测更加简便易行。

关 键 词:自适应灰色模型  路面使用性能  预测模型  MATLAB  

Pavement Performance Prediction Based on Self-adaptive Grey Model
LEI Jian WANG Xuan-cang,LEI Jian,WANG Lei.Pavement Performance Prediction Based on Self-adaptive Grey Model[J].Control & Automation,2010(13).
Authors:LEI Jian WANG Xuan-cang  LEI Jian  WANG Lei
Affiliation:(School of Highway,Chang\'an University,Xi\'an Shaanxi,710064,China) LEI Jian WANG Xuan-cang (School of Electronic & Control Engineering,China) LEI Jian (School of Information Engineering,China) WANG Lei
Abstract:On the basis of gray theory model,adaptive gray model was constructed by using the latest data comes from predicting to replace the oldest data,and it was used to predict for pavement performance.The model is able to overcome the shortcoming of lack of historical data,at the same time,it is more accurate and more in line with changes of pavement performance when compared with other predict models.By Matlab,forecast becomes simpler.
Keywords:Adaptive gray model  Pavement performance  Predict model  MATLAB  
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