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基于粗糙集理论的支撑向量机预测方法研究
引用本文:李元诚,方廷健.基于粗糙集理论的支撑向量机预测方法研究[J].数据采集与处理,2003,18(2):199-203.
作者姓名:李元诚  方廷健
作者单位:1. 中国科学技术大学自动化系,合肥,230026
2. 中国科学院智能机械研究所,合肥,230031
摘    要:分析了粗糙集理论方法与支撑向量机方法两者各自的优势和互补性,探讨了粗糙集与支撑向量机的结合方法.然后提出了一种基于粗糙集数据预处理的支撑向量机预测系统。该系统利用粗糙集理论在处理大数据量、消除冗余信息等方面的优势.减少支撑向量机的训练数据,克服支撑向量机方法因为数据量太大,处理速度慢等缺点。将该系统应用于股票价格预测中,与BP神经网络法和标准的支撑向量机方法相比,得到了较高的预测精度,从而说明了基于粗糙集理论的方法作为信息预处理的支撑向量机学习系统的优越性.

关 键 词:支撑向量机  预测方法  粗糙集理论  BP神经网络  股票市场  股票价格预测  时间序列预测
文章编号:1004-9037(2003)02-0199-05
修稿时间:2002年12月30

Study of Forecasting Algorithm for Support Vector Machines Based on Rough Sets
LI Yuan-cheng ,FANG Ting-jian.Study of Forecasting Algorithm for Support Vector Machines Based on Rough Sets[J].Journal of Data Acquisition & Processing,2003,18(2):199-203.
Authors:LI Yuan-cheng  FANG Ting-jian
Affiliation:LI Yuan-cheng 1,FANG Ting-jian 2
Abstract:By analyzing the generalities and specialities of rough sets (RS) and support vector machines (SVM) in knowledge representation and process of classification, a minimum decision network combining RS with SVM in intelligence processing is investigated, and a kind of SVM system on RS is proposed for forceasting. Using RS theory on the advantage of dealing with great data and eliminating redundant information, the system reduces the training data of SVM, and overcomes the disadvantage of great data and slow speed. Finally, the system is used to forecast Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, and experimental results prove that the approach can achieve greater forecasting accuracy and generalization ability than the BP neural network and standard SVM.
Keywords:rough sets theory  support vector machines  intelligence information processing  forecasting
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