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基于贝叶斯网络的软件项目风险分析过程
引用本文:冯楠,李敏强,寇纪淞,方德英.基于贝叶斯网络的软件项目风险分析过程[J].计算机工程与应用,2006,42(18):16-18,39.
作者姓名:冯楠  李敏强  寇纪淞  方德英
作者单位:天津大学管理学院,天津,300072
摘    要:论文提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络的软件项目风险分析过程。随着软件项目的进行,该风险分析过程能够利用不断更新的项目数据持续地预测潜在风险,并以此确定风险源并采取适当的应对措施降低风险发生概率。经实践检验,在软件开发的风险分析过程中引入贝叶斯网络技术能够有效地对风险进行管理,提高软件开发的成功率。

关 键 词:贝叶斯网络  软件项目  风险分析过程  风险源
文章编号:1002-8331-(2006)18-0016-03
收稿时间:2005-12
修稿时间:2005-12

Software Project Risk Analysis Process Based on Bayesian Networks
Feng Nan,Li Minqiang,Kou Jisong,Fang Deying.Software Project Risk Analysis Process Based on Bayesian Networks[J].Computer Engineering and Applications,2006,42(18):16-18,39.
Authors:Feng Nan  Li Minqiang  Kou Jisong  Fang Deying
Institution:Institute of Systems Engineering,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072
Abstract:A software project risk analysis process based on Bayesian networks is presented in this paper.Using new project data obtained from the process of software development,it can continually predict risks,identify sources of risks, and take proper measure to reduce risk occurrence probability.Practice proves that the risk analysis process is capable to manage risks effectively ,and improve the success rate of software development.
Keywords:Bayesian networks  software project  risk analysis process  sources of risks
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