| 地区电网中长期负荷的模糊聚类法预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 潘旭红.地区电网中长期负荷的模糊聚类法预测[J].自动化与信息工程,2001,22(2):3-5. |
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| 作者姓名： | 潘旭红 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东增城市电力局 |
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| 摘 要： | 结合最佳在F选优法的应用，本文提出了一个改进的模糊聚类电力负荷中长期预测的新算法。应用此方法进行年用电量的实例计算，具有高的预测精度。通过对增城地区经济、负荷发展的情况的分析，对增城地区2005年、2010年的年用电量作出了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 负荷预测 模糊聚类法 电力系统 地区电网 |
Forecast the Medium-long Term Electrical Power need in Local Power System by Fuzzy Classification Method |
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| Pan Xuhong.Forecast the Medium-long Term Electrical Power need in Local Power System by Fuzzy Classification Method[J].Automation & Information Engineering,2001,22(2):3-5. |
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| Authors: | Pan Xuhong |
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| Affiliation: | Zengcheng Electric Power Bureau |
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| Abstract: | This paper offers a modified fuzzy classification calculation method for medium-long term power need forecasting and use it to calculate the year need of electrical power. It is proved that the new method have higher accuracy. This paper also analyzed the economic?power need situation of Zengcheng area, and forecast the year power need of 2005, 2010 in this area. |
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| Keywords: | Fuzzy Classification Method Power Need Forecast |
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