自相似网络流量预测的分析和研究

网络流量模型能准确和全面地刻画流量数据的各种统计特性，因而成为网络研究的热点。讨论了传统模型预测的弊端，描述了网络流量自相似的基本特征，分析了三个重要自相似模型的特点和存在的问题，使用实际网络流量验证了流量的自相似性并结合多分形小波模型对网络流量进行预测，探讨了流量模型预测的新技术和进一步研究的问题。

Analysis and Research on Self-Similar Network Traffic Forecast

Network traffic models can concisely and accurately describe kinds of traffic data statistical characteristics, so it became a hot topic of network capability research. This paper discusses the drawback of the traditional traffic models, describes the basal character of self - similar and analyzes detailedly the feature and existing problems of three important self- similar traffic models. Afterwards,validate the self - similar and forecast the network traffic with the real network traffic data. The latest technologies and the next research problems are given in the end.