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| 带反馈的多元线性回归法在电力负荷预测中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 王勇,黄国兴,彭道刚.带反馈的多元线性回归法在电力负荷预测中的应用[J].计算机应用与软件,2008,25(1):82-84. |
| 作者姓名： | 王勇 黄国兴 彭道刚 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 华东师范大学信息学院,上海,200062;上海电力学院计算机科学与技术系,上海,200090 2. 华东师范大学信息学院,上海,200062 3. 上海电力学院信息与控制技术系,上海,200090 |
| 基金项目： | 上海市重点学科建设项目 |
| 摘 要： | 多元线性回归方法常用于电力负荷预测中,但是它不能预测非线性问题.我们把误差作为一个新的线性或者非线性的反馈自变量,用在下次的多元线性回归预测中.在理想实验环境下,我们发现这种方法是有效的.在电力负荷预测的实验中采用这种方法,得到了比用多元线性回归法更好的实验结果. |
| 关 键 词： | 线性回归 负荷预测 反馈 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-02-16 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年2月16日 |
APPLICATION OF MULTIPLE LINEAR-FEEDBACK REGRESSION ANALYSIS TO ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING |
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| Wang Yong,Huang Guoxing,Peng Daogang.APPLICATION OF MULTIPLE LINEAR-FEEDBACK REGRESSION ANALYSIS TO ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING[J].Computer Applications and Software,2008,25(1):82-84. | |
| Authors: | Wang Yong Huang Guoxing Peng Daogang |
| Affiliation: | Wang Yong1,2 Huang Guoxing1 Peng Daogang31(Information Institute,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China)2(Department of Computer Science , Technology,Shanghai University of Electric Power,Shanghai 200090,China)3(Department of Information , Control Technology,China) |
| Abstract: | Multiple linear regression analysis is always used in electric load forecasting, yet it cannot forecast nonlinear problems. The multiple linear feedback regression analysis is presented. The deviation is regarded as new linear or nonlinear feedback variable for the next multiple linear regression analysis. Experiment in ideal environment shows that the method is effective. Better result is achieved by the proposed method than the multiple linear regression analysis in electric load forecasting. |
| Keywords: | Linear regression Electric load forecasting Feedback |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |