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一个网络管理软件中基于自适应的流量预测
引用本文:姚奇富,马华林,张国清.一个网络管理软件中基于自适应的流量预测[J].计算机测量与控制,2006,14(1):45-46,66.
作者姓名:姚奇富  马华林  张国清
作者单位:1. 浙江工商职业技术学院,浙江,宁波,315012
2. 中国科学院计算技术研究所,北京,100080
摘    要:传统的基于流量的网络报警系统往往根据系统配置的固定阈值来判断当前网络流量是否正常,通过运用统计学和预测学对网络流量预测方法进行研究。提出了一种能根据网络实际流量状态自己调整阈值的新型网络报警机制,能有效地发现网络流量异常,从而为评估和优化网络性能提供有力的依据。

关 键 词:网络管理  网络性能  流量预测  报警
文章编号:1671-4598(2006)01-0045-02
收稿时间:2005-10-15
修稿时间:2005-10-152005-11-14

Traffic Forecast Based on Self-adaptive in a Network Management System
Yao Qifu,Ma Hualin,Zhang Guoqing.Traffic Forecast Based on Self-adaptive in a Network Management System[J].Computer Measurement & Control,2006,14(1):45-46,66.
Authors:Yao Qifu  Ma Hualin  Zhang Guoqing
Affiliation:1. Zhejiang Business Technology Institute, Ningbo 315012, China; 2. Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China
Abstract:Traditional network alarm system which based on traffic usually sets fixed threshold to determine whether the current network traffic are at normal situation. After researching on network traffic forecasts by using statistical arithmetic method, a new alarm mechanism is put forward, which will adjust the threshold automatically as well as send alarm messages according to the real network traffic states. Such kind of mechanism will find the abnormal states of the network traffic, sequentially provide strong evidences to evaluate and optimize it.
Keywords:network management  network performance  traffic forecast  alarm
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