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基于可能性理论的案例决策方法研究
引用本文:周凯波,冯 珊,莫 赞,唐 超.基于可能性理论的案例决策方法研究[J].控制与决策,2003,18(2):181-184.
作者姓名:周凯波  冯 珊  莫 赞  唐 超
作者单位:华中科技大学,系统工程研究所,湖北,武汉,430074
基金项目:国家自然科学基金九五重大项目 (79990 5 80 )
摘    要:提出基于可能性理论与基于案仍推理相结合的双层CBDT决策方法。第1层:决策者应用基于案例推理方法,通过建立在连续集合上问题的可能性分布,结合不同的决策方法对决策问题的不确定性进行定性分析;第2层:利用期望效用理论在与问题的可能性分布相关联的方案中选择具体方案。该方法可避免以往基于案例决策方法中所蕴含的一些技术难题。

关 键 词:基于案例推理  可能性理论  决策  双层CBDT决策方法
文章编号:1001-0920(2003)02-0181-04

Case-based reasoning in decision making based on possibility theory
ZHOU Kai-bo,FENG Shan,MO Zan,TANG Chao.Case-based reasoning in decision making based on possibility theory[J].Control and Decision,2003,18(2):181-184.
Authors:ZHOU Kai-bo  FENG Shan  MO Zan  TANG Chao
Abstract:Case-based decision theory (CBDT) which combines principles from decision theory and case-based reasoning is studied. A CBDT formalization based on possibility theory and case-based reasoning is presented, which is realized as a two-stage process. In the first stage, the decision maker applies case-based reasoning for quantifying his uncertainty associated with different decisions in form of possibility distributions over the set of consequences. In the second stage, generalizations of expected utility theory is used for choosing acts among associated distributions.
Keywords:Case-based reasoning  Possibility theory  Decision making
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