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建筑供热负荷预报与预测控制策略研究
引用本文:朱学莉,齐维贵,陆亚俊.建筑供热负荷预报与预测控制策略研究[J].控制与决策,2002,17(Z1):703-706.
作者姓名:朱学莉  齐维贵  陆亚俊
作者单位:哈尔滨工业大学,电气工程及自动化学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150001
基金项目:黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(E00-12)
摘    要:基于建筑供热节能需要和供热对象的特点,提出了供热负荷预报及对供热过程施加预测控制策略.根据时间序列分析原理,对供热负荷进行节能预报并作为预测控制的设定值.为满足实时性的要求,根据供热对象的特性对预测模型进行简化,给出了用预报误差校正代替误差校正的预测控制算法.最后对供热系统进行相关算法的仿真,其结果证明了该方法的有效性.

关 键 词:负荷预报  模型简化  滚动优化  预报误差校正
文章编号:1001-0920(2002)0S-0703-04
修稿时间:2002年6月19日

Heating load prediction and predictive control tactics of heat supply for building
ZHU Xue li,QI Wei gui,LU Ya jun.Heating load prediction and predictive control tactics of heat supply for building[J].Control and Decision,2002,17(Z1):703-706.
Authors:ZHU Xue li  QI Wei gui  LU Ya jun
Abstract:Based on energy saving and object feature of heat supply for building,prediction of heating load and predictive control tactics are presented. According to time series analysis principle, heating load with energy saving is predicted, which is taken as the set points for predictive control. In order to meet the requirement of real time property, the predictive model is simplified according to the feature of heating object. Predictive control algorithm using predictive error correction to replace error correction is presented.Thesimulationofcorrelationalgorithms of heat supply system is made with successful results.
Keywords:load prediction  model simplification  rolling optimization  predictive error correction
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