基于模糊综合评判的M&S可信性评估研究*

为保证M&S可信性评估工作有效和成功地完成，构建了由影响因素、校核与验证（verification and validation, V&V）过程和可信性特性组成三维可信性信息空间，并以此为理论基础，以V&V过程模型为基本框架，综合分析可信性在V&V过程中不同阶段的评价标准，建立了M&S可信性评估模型；在分析了模糊综合评估模型的基础上，以某飞行视景仿真系统的设计与开发为例，进行可信性评估。应用实例表明，所建立的评估模型及采用的评估方法合理有效。

Research on M&S credibility evaluation based on FSE

Aiming at executing the M&S credibility evaluation efficiently, established cost-effectively and successfully, established the three-dimensional credibility information space consisting of influencing factors, V&V process, and credibility characteristics. According to the theory of the three-dimensional credibility information space, based on the V&V process, combined with the detailed discussion of credibility characteristics, the M&S credibility evaluation model was set up, which was the foundation of credibility evaluation. Based on fuzzy math theory, applied a fuzzy synthesis evaluation (FSE) method to the credibility evaluation of a certain flight visual simulation system. The result of which shows the reasonability and validity of the proposed approach.