基于AR模型与神经网络预测互联网时延*

在分析了互联网传输时延的组成和特性后，提出了采用AR模型和自适应线性神经网络模型预测不确定性的互联网传输时延的方法。仿真结果证明AR模型和自适应线性神经网络模型提供了两种有前途的互联网时延预测方法，相比于AR模型，自适应线性神经网络有更好的预测效果。

Predicting Internet Time delay Based on AR Model and Neural Network

After analyzing Internet communication features, the AR model and adaptive linear neural network model are adopted to predict the uncertain Internet time-delay. The simulation results for time-delay prediction illustrate that the AR model and the adaptive linear neural network provide two kind of promising ways to predict the Internet time-delay. The resulting statistics of simulation experiments also show that the adaptive linear neural network has a better prediction performance than AR model,