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Modeling the clickstream across multiple online advertising channels using a binary logit with Bayesian mixture of normals
Affiliation:1. Department of Medical Services and Techniques, Vocational High School of Health Services, Giresun University, 28200 Giresun, Turkey;2. Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Arts and Science, Ondokuz Mayıs University, 55139 Samsun, Turkey;1. Department of Leisure and Recreation Management, National Kaohsiung University of Hospitality and Tourism, Taiwan, ROC;2. Department of Accounting and Information Technology, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan, ROC;3. Graduate Institute of Marketing and Logistics/Transportation, National Chiayi University, Taiwan, ROC;1. TUM School of Management, Technische Universität München, Arcisstr. 21, 80333 Munich, Germany;2. GfK SE, Nordwestring 101, 90419 Nuremberg, Germany;3. Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Marketing, Goethe University Frankfurt, Grueneburgplatz 1, 60629 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Abstract:The evaluation of online marketing activities using standalone metrics does not explain the development of consumer behavior over time, although it is of primary importance to allocate and optimize financial resources among multiple advertising channels. We develop a binary logit model with a Bayesian mixture approach to demonstrate consumer clickstreams across multiple online advertising channels. Therefore, a detailed user-level dataset from a large financial service provider is analyzed. We find both differences in the effects of repeated advertisement exposure across multiple types of display advertising as well as positive effects of interaction between display and paid search advertising influencing consumer click probabilities. We identify two consumer types with different levels of susceptibility to online advertising (resistant vs. susceptible consumers) and show that the knowledge of consumers individual click probabilities can support companies in managing display advertising campaigns.
Keywords:Display advertising  Retargeting  Paid search advertising  Consumer behavior  Baysian mixture
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