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Cross-analysis of hazmat road accidents using multiple databases
Authors:Martin Trpanier  Marie-Hlne Leroux  Nathalie de Marcellis-Warin
Affiliation:aÉcole Polytechnique de Montréal, C.P. 6079, succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal, H3C 3A7 Canada;bCentre de recherche interuniversitaire de recherche sur les réseaux d’entreprise, la logistique et la transport (CIRRELT), Université de Montréal, C.P. 6128, succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal, H3C 3J7 Canada;cCIRANO, 2020 University, Montréal, H3A 2A5 Canada
Abstract:Road selection for hazardous materials transportation relies heavily on risk analysis. With risk being generally expressed as a product of the probability of occurrence and the expected consequence, one will understand that risk analysis is data intensive. However, various authors have noticed the lack of statistical reliability of hazmat accident databases due to the systematic underreporting of such events. Also, official accident databases alone are not always providing all the information required (economical impact, road conditions, etc.). In this paper, we attempt to integrate many data sources to analyze hazmat accidents in the province of Quebec, Canada. Databases on dangerous goods accidents, road accidents and work accidents were cross-analyzed. Results show that accidents can hardly be matched and that these databases suffer from underreporting. Police records seem to have better coverage than official records maintained by hazmat authorities. Serious accidents are missing from government's official databases (some involving deaths or major spills) even though their declaration is mandatory.
Keywords:Road accident  Hazmat  Accident database  Spatial analysis  Cross-analysis
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