某型反舰导弹作战效能评估及仿真分析

为反映战场对抗强度对作战效能的影响，对某型反舰导弹作战效能进行评估及仿真分析。将反舰导弹作战效能分成武器系统基本效能和对抗效能2部分，建立反舰导弹作战效能评估模型，确立相应的评估指标体系，采用蒙特卡罗法对多发导弹作战效能进行仿真，得到作战效能随导弹数量的变化规律。研究结果表明：该研究可以通过实施多弹饱和攻击地方法来提高该型导弹地作战效能，为进一步提高该型导弹的作战效能提供了一定的理论依据。

Evaluation and Simulation Analysis of Operation Effectiveness of Certain Type Anti-ship Missile

For reflecting influence of battlefield confrontation intensity on operation effectiveness, carry out evaluation and simulation analysis on operation effectiveness certain type anti-ship missile. Divide abut-ship missile operation effectiveness into weapon system basic effectiveness and confrontation effectiveness, establish anti-ship missile operation effectiveness evaluation model, and construct corresponding evaluation index system. Use Monte Carlo method to simulate multi missiles operation effectiveness, and the law of the changes in operation effectiveness which varies with the number of missiles is obtained. The research results show that the research can improve missile operation effectiveness by using multi missile saturation attack, and provide a theoretical basis for further improving the operation effectiveness of certain type anti-ship missile.