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着发射击高射武器系统点射毁歼概率仿真
引用本文:曾前腾,吴慧中.着发射击高射武器系统点射毁歼概率仿真[J].兵工学报,2006,27(1):126-131.
作者姓名:曾前腾  吴慧中
作者单位:南京理工大学,计算机系,江苏,南京,210094;桂林空军学院,广西,桂林,541003;南京理工大学,计算机系,江苏,南京,210094
摘    要:高炮点射毁歼概率计算很复杂且需做许多简化处理。按高炮的点射过程构建仿真统计模型,以4-25 mm高炮为例,仿真统计了6种不同形状目标的点射毁歼概率,并与相应的传统解析法计算值进行了分析比较,证明了解析法简化处理的一些不合理情况以及用C十十语言编程实现复杂随机系统仿真的可行性。

关 键 词:概率论  高炮射击  毁歼概率  系统仿真  蒙特卡洛法
文章编号:1000-1093(2006)01-0126-06
收稿时间:2005-02-09
修稿时间:2005-02-09

Simulation for Burst Firing Kill Probability of Antiaircraft Gun
ZENG Qian-teng,WU Hui-zhong.Simulation for Burst Firing Kill Probability of Antiaircraft Gun[J].Acta Armamentarii,2006,27(1):126-131.
Authors:ZENG Qian-teng  WU Hui-zhong
Affiliation:I. Department of Computer Science and Technology, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, Jiangsu, China; 2. Guilin Air Force Academy, Guilin 541003, Guangxi, China
Abstract:The calculation of antiaircraft gun burst firing kill probability is very complex and needs to be simplified in some ways. A simulation statistics model was established based on the process of antiaircraft gun burst firing. Taking 4-25 mm antiaircraft gun as an example, the burst firing kill probabilities for 6 different targets were counted by the simulation, and compared with the values cal?culated by the conventional analysis method. The result shows that some simplifications in analysis method are unreasonable and the simulation for complex stochastic system based on C + + program?ming is feasible.
Keywords:probability  antiaircraft gun firing  kill probability  system simulation  Monte Carlo method
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