| 基于错分代价的故障预测技术安全性能评估方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄大荣,宋军,赵刚.基于错分代价的故障预测技术安全性能评估方法[J].兵工学报,2011,32(10):1292-1297. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄大荣 宋军 赵刚 |
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| 作者单位： | (1.重庆交通大学 信息科学与工程学院， 重庆 400074;2.第二炮兵装备部驻重庆地区军事代表局， 重庆 400039) |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(61004118); 中国国家博士后科学基金项目(20060401018); 重庆市自然科学基金项目(CSTC2006BB2422); 重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJ060414); 重庆交通大学博士启动基金项目(07-01-12) |
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| 摘 要： | 研究了一类考虑错分代价的故障预测技术安全性能评估方法.鉴于概率论不精确的特性,针对两类故障类别的统计数据构建了错分代价模型,在此基础上确立了错分代价最小的故障趋势判别定理；从两类故障类别出发,构建了多类故障类别预测的错分代价模型以及错分代价最小的故障趋势判别规则,并给出了故障预测技术安全性能评估的基本流程；用火箭控制系...
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| 关 键 词： | 系统评估与可行性分析 概率论 故障预测 性能评估 错分代价 |
Research on Safety Performance Evaluation Method of Fault-prediction Technology Based on Misclassification Cost |
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| HUANG Da-rong,SONG Jun,ZHAO Gang.Research on Safety Performance Evaluation Method of Fault-prediction Technology Based on Misclassification Cost[J].Acta Armamentarii,2011,32(10):1292-1297. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Da-rong SONG Jun ZHAO Gang |
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| Affiliation: | (1.School of Information Science and Engineering, Chongqing Jiaotong Universtity,Chongqing 400074, China;2.Chongqing Agent of Second Artillery Corps, PLA, Chongqing 400039, China) |
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| Abstract: | A new safety performance evaluation of the fault-prediction technology was researched based on misclassfication cost.First of all,a misclassification cost model for the statistical data of two fault-classificatory sets was constructed based on the inaccurate characteristic of probability theory,and the fault-direction decision rules of the running state were established by considering the minimum misclassification cost.Secondly,a misclassification cost model of numerous fault-classificatory sets was constru... |
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| Keywords: | systematic evaluation and feasibility analysis probability fault prediction performance evaluation misclassification cost |
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