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装甲车辆故障随机过程分析
引用本文:谈树萍,袁洪涛,韩禄亮.装甲车辆故障随机过程分析[J].兵工学报,2006,27(6):961-964.
作者姓名:谈树萍  袁洪涛  韩禄亮
作者单位:1.北京控制工程研究所,北京100080; 2.中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100080 3.北京特种车辆研究所,北京100072
摘    要:为合理建立装甲车辆的维修方案,分析了装甲车辆在一个大修区间内的故障随机过程。在3个假设条件下,分别用泊松过程及指数多项式函数来描述装甲车辆故障随机过程及其故障强度函数,并且给出了故障随机过程模型中未知参数及模型阶数的估计方法,从而为确立装甲车辆的维修时机提供了理论依据和估计参数的切实的方案。

关 键 词:系统评估与可行性分析      装甲车辆      可靠性      故障      随机过程      泊松过程  
文章编号:1000-1093(2006)06-0961-04
收稿时间:2006-02-10
修稿时间:2006-02-10

Analysis of Fault Stochastic Process for Armored Vehicles
TAN Shu-ping,YUAN Hong-tao,HAN Lu-liang.Analysis of Fault Stochastic Process for Armored Vehicles[J].Acta Armamentarii,2006,27(6):961-964.
Authors:TAN Shu-ping  YUAN Hong-tao  HAN Lu-liang
Affiliation:1.Beijing Institute of Control Engineering, Beijing 100080,China; 2.Academy of Mathematics and System Science, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100080, China; 3.Beijing Special Vehicle Research Institute, Beijing 100072, China
Abstract:To design a reasonable repair schedule of the armoured vehicles, fault stochastic process happening in an overhaul repair interval was discussed. Relying on three assumptions, fault stochastic process and fault intensity function were modelled by general Poisson process and exponential polynomial respectively. A method of estimating unknown parameters and orders of the model was further presented. Both the model and the method provide the theory basis and feasible approach of parameter estimation for the arrangement of the repair timetable of the armoured vehicles.
Keywords:analysis on system assessment and feasibility  armoured vehicle  reliability  fault  stochastic process  Poisson process
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