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| 火工品可靠度的经典估计与Bayes估计 | |
| 引用本文： | 周美林,蔡瑞娇,韩敦信.火工品可靠度的经典估计与Bayes估计[J].含能材料,2005,13(2):94-98. |
| 作者姓名： | 周美林 蔡瑞娇 韩敦信 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 北京理工大学机电工程学院,北京,100081;中国工程物理研究院化工材料研究所,四川,绵阳,621900 2. 北京理工大学机电工程学院,北京,100081 3. 中国工程物理研究院化工材料研究所,四川,绵阳,621900 |
| 摘 要： | 分析了GJB376-B7《火工品可靠性评估方法》中计数法的保守性,提出了火工品可靠度新的计数评估方法,并应用统计理论和数学方法进行了理论证明。同时介绍了采用Bayes方法及在火工品可靠度估计中的应用,并进行了分析和讨论。 |
| 关 键 词： | 可靠性工程 火工品 Bayes估计 经典估计 计数法 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-9941(2005)02-0094-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004/6/14 0:00:00 |
Bayes Estimation and Classical Reliability Estimation Methods of Initiating Devices |
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| ZHOU Mei-lin,CAI Rui-jiao and HAN Dun-xin.Bayes Estimation and Classical Reliability Estimation Methods of Initiating Devices[J].Chinese Journal of Energetic Materials,2005,13(2):94-98. | |
| Authors: | ZHOU Mei-lin CAI Rui-jiao and HAN Dun-xin |
| Affiliation: | Institute of Physics and Engineering, Beijing 100081, China; Institute of Chemistry Materials, CAEP, Mianyang 621900, China;Institute of Physics and Engineering, Beijing 100081, China;;Institute of Chemistry Materials, CAEP, Mianyang 621900, China |
| Abstract: | The conservation of GO,NO-GO Method in GJB 376-87 "Assessment Method of Reliability for Initiating Devices" and the Bayes method of reliability for initiating devices were discussed in the paper. A new GO,NO-GO Method was designed to estimate reliability of initiating devices with less sample-amount. It was deduced using statistical theory and mathematical methods. The Bayes, the new proposed and classical estimation methods were compared experimentally. The results show that the former two exhibit better reliability estimation for initiating devices than the classical estimation, and the new method requires less sample-amount than the other two. |
| Keywords: | reliability engineering initiating device Bayes estimation classical estimation GO NO-GO method |
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