新型导弹武器系统瞬时可用度波动分析与优化方法研究

研究研制及使用初期导弹武器系统瞬时可用度的波动及最优控制问题。定义了瞬时可用度的概念和量化指标,基于分层组合思想,建立了导弹武器系统瞬时可用度评估模型。分析了波动的产生机理,构建了最小可用度振幅和最小可用度发生时间等刻画波动的函数,提出了瞬时可用度波动的分析方法,并对波动的不确定性进行了仿真分析。在此基础上,利用仿真粒子群的优化算法,对最小可用度振幅和最佳预防性维修计划进行优化,通过实例分析,验证了模型和算法的有效性。

Availability Variation Analysis and Optimization Methods of A New Type Missile Weapon System

Instantaneous availability variation and optimal control problems of missile weapon system dur- ing the development and initial stage are presented. Instantaneous availability concept and quantitative in- dicators are defined, and the assessment model about missile weapon system is established on the basis of layered composite ideas. Finally, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is proposed to solve the prob- lem of optimization, which referred to minimum availability amplitude and the optimal preventative main- tenance plan, and its effectiveness is verified through example.