Delphi和AHP集成的火电建设工程模糊综合评价方法

根据系统工程的原理，通过专家论证法和德尔菲法构建火电建设工程的多层次综合评价指标体系；应用层次分析法，建立较为完善的火电建设工程综合评价模型和方法，确定火电建设工程综合评价的程序和方法。实际案例计算表明，应用多层次指标体系和多目标综合后评价方法，可以将影响火电建设工程诸多因素定量表达出来，从而确保工程项目后评价的客观性和准确性。本文在火电建设工程的多层次综合评价指标体系的建立、指标权重的确定及模糊综合评价模型的建立等方面进行了探索。

Fuzzy and Comprehensive Evaluation Method for a Thermal Power Plant Construction Project by the Integration of Delphi Method and AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process)

Based on the principles of system engineering, through an argumentation performed by experts and with the use of Delphi method the authors have set up a multi hierarchy comprehensive evaluation index system for thermal power plant construction projects. With the help of an analytical hierarchy process established was a relatively consummate evaluation model and method for the above cited projects, and the procedures and method for project comprehensive evaluation were also determined. The calculation results of some actual cases indicate that the evaluation method based on a multi hierarchy index system and multi objective synthesis makes it possible to quantitatively address many influencing factors involved in a thermal power plant construction project, thereby ensuring the objectivity and precision of project evaluation. The authors have also explored the following items: the establishment of an index system for the multi hierarchy comprehensive evaluation of thermal power plant construction projects, the determination of index weights and the creation of a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model, etc.