Evaluating the effectiveness of urban energy conservation and GHG mitigation measures: The case of Xiamen city,China |
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Authors: | Jianyi Lin Bin Cao Shenghui Cui Wei Wang Xuemei Bai |
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Affiliation: | 1. Key Lab of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China;2. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;3. CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, Canberra ACT 2601, Australia |
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Abstract: | To assess the effectiveness of urban energy conservation and GHG mitigation measures, a detailed Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) model is developed and applied to analyze the future trends of energy demand and GHG emissions in Xiamen city. Two scenarios have been designed to describe the future energy strategies in relation to the development of Xiamen city. The ‘Business as Usual’ scenario assumes that the government will do nothing to influence the long-term trends of urban energy demand. An ‘Integrated’ scenario, on the other hand, is generated to assess the cumulative impact of a series of available reduction measures: clean energy substitution, industrial energy conservation, combined heat and power generation, energy conservation in building, motor vehicle control, and new and renewable energy development and utilization. The reduction potentials in energy consumption and GHG emissions are estimated for a time span of 2007–2020 under these different scenarios. The calculation results in Xiamen show that the clean energy substitution measure is the most effective in terms of energy saving and GHG emissions mitigation, while the industrial sector has the largest abatement potential. |
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Keywords: | GHG emissions Policy measure Scenario analysis |
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