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珠江上游流域枯水期降水演变特征分析
引用本文:张〓峰,雷晓辉,蒋云钟,白建锋.珠江上游流域枯水期降水演变特征分析[J].水电能源科学,2012,30(2):9-12.
作者姓名:张〓峰  雷晓辉  蒋云钟  白建锋
作者单位:1. 东华大学环境科学与工程学院,上海201620;中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038
2. 中国水利水电科学研究院,北京,100038
基金项目:国家自然科学基金创新研究群体基金资助项目(50721006)
摘    要:以珠江上游流域为例,采用线性回归分析、Mann-Kendall检验、小波分析等方法分析了1959~2008年枯水期降水时间系列。结果表明,近50年来,珠江上游流域枯水期降水呈不显著变化趋势(增加率1.0mm/10a),枯水期降水存在约2、6、13、30年的主周期,其中以13、30年周期变化最为显著。

关 键 词:Mann-Kendall检验  Morlet小波分析  枯水期  降水  珠江

Analysis of Precipitation Variation of Low Water Season in Upstream of Pearl River Basin
ZHANG Feng,LEI Xiaohui,JIANG Yunzhong and BAI Jianfeng.Analysis of Precipitation Variation of Low Water Season in Upstream of Pearl River Basin[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2012,30(2):9-12.
Authors:ZHANG Feng  LEI Xiaohui  JIANG Yunzhong and BAI Jianfeng
Affiliation:1,2(1.School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Donghua University,Shanghai 201620,China;2.China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038,China)
Abstract:Taking the upstream of Pearl River Basin for an example,this paper analyzes precipitation time series in low water season during 1959~2008 by using linear regression,Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis method.The results show that in recent 50 years,precipitation in low water season presents an insignificantly increasing trend with a rate of 1.0 mm per 10a;as can be seen from period,the low water season precipitation appears 2,6,13 and 30 year periods,of which the most significant variation occurred in 13 and 30 years.
Keywords:Mann-Kendall test  Morlet wavelet analysis  low water season  precipitation  Pearl River Basin
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