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分形分析方法在汛期分期中的参数优选与应用
引用本文:崔巍,顾圣平,肖聪,高力,李振.分形分析方法在汛期分期中的参数优选与应用[J].水电能源科学,2014,32(3):75-79.
作者姓名:崔巍  顾圣平  肖聪  高力  李振
作者单位:河海大学 水利水电学院, 江苏 南京 210098;河海大学 水利水电学院, 江苏 南京 210098;河海大学 水利水电学院, 江苏 南京 210098;河海大学 水利水电学院, 江苏 南京 210098;河海大学 水利水电学院, 江苏 南京 210098
基金项目:国家十二五科技支撑计划项目(2013BAB06B01)
摘    要:针对分形分析方法在水库汛期分期应用过程中存在的参数选取问题,对可能影响分期结果的切割水平以及时间尺度范围进行了参数优选,并以崖羊山水库的汛期分期为例,利用分形分析方法获得了该水库的汛期分期结果,经过对比分析数理统计法、模糊集合论方法的分期结果,进而验证了分形分析方法具有更高的准确性。

关 键 词:汛期分期    分形分析方法    切割水平    时间尺度范围    参数优选

Parameter Optimization and Application of Fractal Analysis Method in Division of Flood Season
CUI Wei,GU Shengping,XIAO Cong,GAO Li and LI Zhen.Parameter Optimization and Application of Fractal Analysis Method in Division of Flood Season[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2014,32(3):75-79.
Authors:CUI Wei  GU Shengping  XIAO Cong  GAO Li and LI Zhen
Affiliation:College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China
Abstract:Aiming at the determination of parameters in the application of fractal analysis method in division of flood season, parameter optimization was done on the potential factors for influencing the results of division including splitting level and the range of time scale. Taking Yayangshan Reservoir as an example, the result of division of flood season is obtained by fractal analysis method. Furthermore, through the comparison and analysis of the results of empirical statistics and fuzzy set theory method, it verifies that fractal analysis method is more accurate.
Keywords:division of flood season  fractal analysis method  determination of splitting level  range of time scale  parameter optimization
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