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最近邻抽样回归模型在水文水资源预后中的应用
引用本文:王文圣,向红莲,等.最近邻抽样回归模型在水文水资源预后中的应用[J].水电能源科学,2001,19(2):8-10.
作者姓名:王文圣  向红莲
作者单位:四川大学水利水电学院,四川 成都 610065
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重大项目(50099620)和四川大学高速水力学国家重点实验室开放基金(2008)资助.
摘    要:介绍了最近邻抽样回归模型进行单因子和多因子预测建模的基本思想和实现算法。通过水文水资源中的两个实例对NNBR模型的预测效果进行了验证,并与自回归模型,基于遗传算法的因归模型及经验相关图法的预测效果进行了对比。

关 键 词:最近邻抽样回归模型  自回归模型  水文水资源  预报
文章编号:1000-7709(2001)02-0008-03

Predication of Hydrology and Water Resources with Nearest Neighbor Bootstrapping Regressive Model
Wang Wen sheng,Xiang Hong liang,Ding Jing.Predication of Hydrology and Water Resources with Nearest Neighbor Bootstrapping Regressive Model[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2001,19(2):8-10.
Authors:Wang Wen sheng  Xiang Hong liang  Ding Jing
Abstract:In this paper, a new approach of statistic prediction, namely, nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive models has been presented and was applied to the hydrology and water resources with single variable time series and multivariable time series. The models have clear concept and single structure, and avoid the assumption of the form of dependence and probability function. The results from model prediction of two cases in hydrology and water resources have shown that the suggested models are functional and advantageous.
Keywords:nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive model  AR  GA  hydrology and water resources  prediction
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