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考虑历史洪水时指数分布线性矩法的研究
引用本文:李兴凯,陈元芳.考虑历史洪水时指数分布线性矩法的研究[J].水电能源科学,2009,27(2).
作者姓名:李兴凯  陈元芳
作者单位:1. 河北电力勘测设计研究院,河北,石家庄,050031;河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏,南京,210098
2. 河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏,南京,210098
摘    要:在介绍指数分布线性矩及其参数关系的基础上,提出了可考虑历史洪水线性矩公式,通过统计试验分析了线性矩法的统计性能及历史洪水公式的适用性,并与两种不同准则适线法、矩法作了比较.统计试验结果表明,线性矩法的参数及设计值合理有效、比矩法更稳定,是一种统计特性优良的参数估计法.

关 键 词:指数分布  线性矩  优化适线法  历史洪水  统计试验

Study on Exponential Distribution L-moment Method in Consideration of Historical Flood
LI Xingkai,CHEN Yuanfang.Study on Exponential Distribution L-moment Method in Consideration of Historical Flood[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2009,27(2).
Authors:LI Xingkai  CHEN Yuanfang
Affiliation:1.Electric Power Survey and Design Insitute of Hebei Province;Shijiazhuang 050031;China;2.College of Hydrology and Water Resources;Hohai University;Nanjing 210098;China
Abstract:Exponential distribution is commonly used in hydrology and other fields.After introducing L-moments of exponential distribution and its relationship with distribution parameters,a suitable formula of sample L-moments in consideration of the historical flood information was proposed,the statistical performance of L-moments for estimation of population parameters and suitability of the historical flood formula proposed were analyzed by Monte-Carlo method,then the comparison with the Moment method and the Curv...
Keywords:exponential distribution  L-moment  curve-fitting method  historical flood  statistical test  
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